The Barbell Effect: Quality vs. Quantity
Gig workers and networked organizations will need to choose one side or the other.
Gig workers and networked organizations will need to choose one side or the other.
Every creator faces this choice: go premium or go volume. The middle market is disappearing. Here’s why that changes everything for Solo Chiefs.
I know I’ve been a little MIA (Missing In Action) lately. Believe me, it’s not because I ran out of things to say—quite the opposite. I’ve been grappling with a choice, one that every creator faces at some point:
Should I focus on crafting premium, top-shelf work that comes at a higher cost? Or should I churn out more content, faster and cheaper, to reach a wider audience?
It’s a lot like shopping for clothes. Stick with me here.
The Barbell in Everyday Life
I’m the kind of person who’s drawn to quality—think Hugo Boss, Patagonia, or Tramarossa. There’s something satisfying about knowing you’ve invested in something that lasts. But every now and then, I’ll snag a bargain—a cheeky pack of socks or a random shirt that feels like a steal. What I rarely do, though, is shop in the middle. You know the type: not quite premium, not quite a bargain, and definitely not memorable.
That same “barbell effect” crops up in every corner of life.
Take gadgets. I’ll splurge on a Google Pixel smartphone because I want the best tech in my hands—or I’ll grab some no-name monitor that gets the job done. Eating out? Either I’m going all-in for an award-winning feast or I'm grabbing a cheapo burger, burrito or ramen. The in-between? Forgettable.
The Barbell Effect, as economists call it, describes this pull toward the extremes—premium on one end, budget on the other—while the middle ground gets hollowed out. It’s a market trend, sure, but it’s also a lifestyle philosophy. And lately, it’s got me thinking about my writing.
What the Barbell Effect Means for Creators
In a world drowning in AI-generated fluff, where does a writer like me fit?
I could aim for exclusivity—stories so compelling, readers wouldn’t think twice about paying a premium. Or I could ramp up volume, churning out accessible, binge-worthy pieces like the Netflix of words. The middle? That’s where creativity goes to die.
And it’s not just writing. Retail, restaurants, gyms, even kitchens follow this pattern. Luxury brands like Gucci and Louis Vuitton thrive on exclusivity, whereas budget chains like H&M and Zara rake in sales from the cost-conscious. Meanwhile, mid-tier department stores are gathering dust.
The middle? That's where creativity goes to die.
Even at home, I see it: my furniture is a mash-up of sleek Italian designs and IKEA hacks, and my kitchen is stocked with Le Creuset pots and pans on the one hand, and bargain-bin woks on the other. The stuff in the middle? Why even bother?
The Barbell Effect has spoken.
I’m a seasoned founder, intrapreneur, and former CIO who builds maps and models for Solo Chiefs navigating sole accountability in the age of AI—informed by plenty of scar tissue. All posts are free, always. Paying supporters keep it that way (and get a full-color PDF of Human Robot Agent plus other monthly extras as a thank-you)—for just one café latte per month. Subscribe or upgrade.
My Two Paths Forward
So here I am, staring down two paths:
1. Go premium—craft stories that stand the test of time, that people treasure, that demand a premium because they’re worth it. Like Neal Stephenson, Joe Abercrombie or Martha Wells.
2. Go high-volume—produce work at scale, bringing stories to everyone, fast and affordable. Like Isaac Asimov, Piers Anthony or Mercedes Lackey.
Both approaches have their appeal. Both work in today’s market. But there’s one truth I can’t ignore: The middle isn’t an option. Average quality and average quantity gets you nowhere because in economies of scale fueled by power laws, there's no such thing as the average.
Jurgen, Solo Chief
P.S. Which side of the barbell are you on? Premium or volume?
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Being a Taleb fan, and also aware of the economics of authorship, I'd say both! Stephen King style. Fast and furious creativity, at affordable prices, with the occasional piece that creates excitement, and anticipation, but is also a premium offer (keynotes? ;)
When it comes to a business, I'd always want to be barbelled!