This is one of the clearest, most grounded articulations of where we are right now.
It feels like you wrote my brain!
I felt that same fourth disillusionment land hard. For this I built what I call Reflective Prompting. It wasn’t a way to "prompt better." It was how I stayed coherent when everything was changing, how I used AI not to escape the discomfort, but to move through it with clarity.
I don’t think the next edge is about predicting collapse or celebrating the bloom, it’s about staying inside the uncertainty long enough to build from it. Not with forecasts, but with observation. What if we created small “canary” sub-groups inside companies, no roles, people gather around meaningful tasks in the way they love working? No fixed titles. No optimized teams. Just curiosity, mixed skills, and time. Some of what emerges might be noise. But some might be the next layer of signal.
Thank you Jurgen, I call it the GreenHouse model. Wrote about it in my blog post "AI For Humanity". It is a dream, but I am convinced I will be able to make one company see it.
This article is a gem 💎 I am contemplating for months now what I will do with my experiences in product management, agile coaching and a little bit of coding to make a living in the future; I think there are some thoughts in this article that will help me.
I would like to get to similar conclusions from different angle.
LLM is just another piece of automation. And as any automation it amplifies capability of a human to perform specific task. It can do this task better, but only this task. Hummer punches harder the first, knife cuts deeper, car goes faster, boat swims better and so on.
But tools always created more jobs than destroyed. Yes, transformation painful for certain groups of people, but it always was. From perceptive of pain nothing compares to rapild second half 19 century European urbanisation driven by railroad expansion
This time it will be the same. Transformation, not a collapse. Demand for people will not vanish
This is really brilliant, and IMHO "balanced!" (I say that with a nod to the previous concerns in past articles. 🤣) I love the human-centered analysis of the implications of AI. It really made me think not just about AI impact on my job, but AI impact on society and human relationships globally.
This is one of the clearest, most grounded articulations of where we are right now.
It feels like you wrote my brain!
I felt that same fourth disillusionment land hard. For this I built what I call Reflective Prompting. It wasn’t a way to "prompt better." It was how I stayed coherent when everything was changing, how I used AI not to escape the discomfort, but to move through it with clarity.
I don’t think the next edge is about predicting collapse or celebrating the bloom, it’s about staying inside the uncertainty long enough to build from it. Not with forecasts, but with observation. What if we created small “canary” sub-groups inside companies, no roles, people gather around meaningful tasks in the way they love working? No fixed titles. No optimized teams. Just curiosity, mixed skills, and time. Some of what emerges might be noise. But some might be the next layer of signal.
Yes, I like that idea.
Thank you Jurgen, I call it the GreenHouse model. Wrote about it in my blog post "AI For Humanity". It is a dream, but I am convinced I will be able to make one company see it.
This article is a gem 💎 I am contemplating for months now what I will do with my experiences in product management, agile coaching and a little bit of coding to make a living in the future; I think there are some thoughts in this article that will help me.
Really impressive article.
I would like to get to similar conclusions from different angle.
LLM is just another piece of automation. And as any automation it amplifies capability of a human to perform specific task. It can do this task better, but only this task. Hummer punches harder the first, knife cuts deeper, car goes faster, boat swims better and so on.
But tools always created more jobs than destroyed. Yes, transformation painful for certain groups of people, but it always was. From perceptive of pain nothing compares to rapild second half 19 century European urbanisation driven by railroad expansion
This time it will be the same. Transformation, not a collapse. Demand for people will not vanish
Thanks for this broad take on a crucial question. There is so much to consider in this post, that I am sure I will return to it again and again.
This is really brilliant, and IMHO "balanced!" (I say that with a nod to the previous concerns in past articles. 🤣) I love the human-centered analysis of the implications of AI. It really made me think not just about AI impact on my job, but AI impact on society and human relationships globally.
Thanks for this, Jurgen!!
Yes flinging monkey shit is always an option